Archive for the ‘Society’ category

Radio advertisements for gold

February 13th, 2009

I’ve been hearing radio ads for gold for some time now.  The basic premise and message is something like

The dollar is going down the tubes.  It’s lost 40% of its value in the last few years, and we’ll be facing massive inflation soon.  You need to own GOLD!  Buy our GOLD COINS NOW!

What do they want you to buy the gold coins with?  Your dollars!  That’s right!  The dollar is such a lousy investment to have that these companies will take it on themselves to burden themselves with *your dollars* to give you access to those oh-so-valuable GOLD COINS!

Whatever. 

If the economic woes of the past few years have taught us anything is that very little of anything has any intrinsic value (food?  basic shelter?)  Value is defined as what all concerned parties agree on – nothing more.  When everyone stopped believe in tech stocks, they didn’t have any value.  When everyone stopped believing in the myth that “real estate always goes up”, it stopped.  Yes, I’m simplifying this perhaps more than I should.  Someone will fight me regardless of how detailed I went anyway.  Flame away.

Having gold coins will only be valuable as long as everyone agrees that they’re valuable.  If people stop believing that gold is valuable, it will be worthless. 

Clay Shirky on micropayments

February 9th, 2009

Just read a piece from Clay Shirky on micropayments.  He makes a couple of good observations, but seems to fail on this one:

People are not paying for music on ITMS because we have decided that fee-per-track is the model we prefer, but because there is no market in which commercial alternatives can be explored.

I think given the subscription models from Microsoft and Yahoo, as well as the current existing CD-in-store model, people are paying the fee-per-track precisely because they *do* prefer it.  I worked in music retail back in the early 90′s, around the time that the major labels slowly stopped putting out singles (vinyl was gone, but cassette singles were around as well as the odd CD-single).  Major music companies seemed to actively put the kibosh on mass market singles, forcing people in to purchasing entire albums just to get the 1-2 songs they wanted.

Entire Napster, which demonstrated people really wanted ala carte tracks.  Napster was shut down, but iTunes was there at the ready, to allow people to get just the tracks that they wanted.  Given the billion + tracks they’ve sold, I suspect it’s a model many people prefer.  If you want an entire album you can get it as well, either from iTunes, or Amazon or still on physical CD from many stores.

So why does Clay think there’s no market for alternatives?  iTunes *is* the alternative.

Couple of thoughts on music piracy

December 23rd, 2008

Was reading a couple of blog posts on music piracy recently, and the same tired old threads kept coming up. “Music tracks are just advertisements for the artist – they should make their money selling T-shirts and tickets to live shows.”

I’ve contributed this rebuttal, as have others – “what about music that can’t be performed live, or wasn’t intended to be? Beatles’ Sgt Pepper being a prime example, but even most of Revolver couldn’t have been done justice ‘live’”. Rebuttals to that rebuttal inevitably come back with “technology is so great now – anyone can do it. Phish redid the White Album live, etc”. Not trying to be Beatle-centric here, just some points of reference that make most sense to me. Substitute Zappa or Pink Floyd or whatever to suit your taste.

The “sell tshirts and tickets” has always bothered me, but not until today could I put my finger on why. There are two separate reasons, really.

Point one: I don’t need that many tshirts. Really – I like dozens of bands and hundreds of albums – I do NOT need more clothes or trinkets to memorialize them. This adds to clutter/waste, enriches the Chinese companies that manufacture this stuff, and is wasteful (did I mention it’s wasteful?)

Point two: You can *not* replicate the range of experiences people can have with music at a live concert. I don’t enjoy much live music because there’s so much *other* stuff going on around, and usually I can’t afford front row seats for larger shows (Stones, etc.) And for smaller shows, well – I’ve been to a few, and they were enjoyable, but were poor substitutes for the sonic brilliance and subtle textures I get listening to the artist’s CD. Live concerts are just *one* experience – a very short lived one for most people – that you can have with an artist’s music. There’ve been plenty of times I’ve cried at music tracks while riding in the car, or sitting at home being reflective of life, while listening to music from artists that were able to articulate my exact feelings for that moment. I find myself reconnecting with old music on long trips that bring a new perspective to how I used to see certain issues, or help me to reframe my thoughts on old friendships.

In short, the music on an artist’s album can often become the soundtrack for many chapters of your life, for years to come. Marginalizing that power by implying that artist’s music should be given away simply as a marketing tool to attract people to live shows (expecting them to buy shirts to ‘support’ the artist) is narrow-minded, short-sighted, and dare I say insulting to the many bands and artists that strive to achieve something more permanent.

Line-item tipping

December 16th, 2008

Was talking with my brother today and got on the subject of tipping (apparently it was on NPR today). We discussed the lousy experience we sometimes get, and there’s no way to indicate that in any way that anyone will notice. I’d like to suggest restaurants start “line-item tipping”.

When you come to leave a gratuity, you’d be presented with 3 lines:

_______ service

_______ food

_______ cleanliness (or ambiance, or something like that)

This would *easily* allow you to let the entire restaurant know – immediately – whether the food was good, the service was good, and the place was clean. Yeah, those stupid little survey cards are at some places, but I never trust they do anything with them.

If I get lousy food, but the server is still good, I’m tempted to leave the server a bad tip as a way of ‘sending a message’ but ultimately it’s really only hurting the server. Never going back to that restaurant is an option, but likely will hurt everyone.

The line-item gratuity would go a long way towards identifying the good parts of a restaurant on a real-time basis.

What do you think?

Age of software industry

November 13th, 2008

Talking with my friend Shawn Hartsock the other day, and we got to talking about the state of software, and some of the history of software development.  He’s a big nerd on this subject, and considers ‘computing’ to go back hundreds (or thousands!) of years.  Yes, one can make that argument, but I when I talk about computing, I’m generally referring to the stuff that started to become available to mainstream households in the mid ’70s.  Systems that one could order or buy in a store that came with enough to let you write your own useful software, or load prewritten software.  Visicalc was a bit of a defining moment, and one could argue that the ‘software industry’ as we know it today was born either with Visicalc, or certainly right around that time frame anyway.

Using that as my premise, we can say that the ‘software industry’ has been around for *about* 30 years.  I know it’s gone on for far longer than that, but really only for a select few people.  It was not an *industry* in the sense that we know it now, nor could it have been.  Most software was written specifically for particular pieces of hardware before the time period that I’m talking about.  

Given that the modern software industry started about 30 years ago, I was shocked to realize that I’ve been involved in it professionally for nearly 50% of that industry’s lifespan.  I started programming in 1981 on a Timex Sinclair ZX81 with 1K of RAM, soon expanded to 16K (assuming the RAM pack didn’t jiggle out of place!)  This was a hobbyist phase, to be sure, but I got hooked early.  I didn’t do any *professional* programming until 1993, and even then it was just a bit of freelance parttime stuff working through school. 

Looking back, and what Shawn and I were discussing, is that we’ve seen a massive shift over the last few years away from ‘shrinkwrap software’ (which is, imo, what was born in the mid/late 70s) to the current ‘software as a service’.  Yes, many people still buy MS Office, and we still buy operating systems (Windows, OS X, etc.)  But the majority of software that many people use today is web-based.  Email may be a prime example, but we’re already seeing moves to web-based word processing, spreadsheets and other ‘office’ staples.  Accounting software – Quickbooks is online.  There’s likely hundreds of examples to illustrate this switch we’re seeing.

The days of going and buying a disk with software on it are fast disappearing.  The gaming industry might be the last major consumer hold out, but I’m not a huge gamer, so I don’t know much about how that’s shaping out.  What is interesting to me is to be witnessing this shift happen, somewhat gradually, but at the same time rather quickly.  

Taking, say, 1978 as a starting point for the modern software industry, we had about 15 years until the ‘internet’ started to become something ‘average’ people might be able to use.  Students were using it more and more when I was in school at that point (email, ftp, telnet, irc, etc.)  From 1993 through 2008, another 15 years, we’ve seen a dramatic shift away from packaged software to ‘software as a service’, the latest fancy term for ‘client/server’ from decades earlier  :)

This was a post I’d started several weeks ago, then let sit.  I’ve lost some of the points I was going to make, so I’m putting it out here now in case any one cares to comment on it.  It might help jog my memory as to what I was planning to say.  Perhaps, in a nutshell, this is just my way of saying “I feel old”.  :)

Disappointed on bullying bill

July 31st, 2008

I recently read that the NC legislature did not pass an ‘anti-bullying’ bill recently introduced.  The full text is here.  A blogger over here asserts that this was defeated because of this language:

Bullying or harassing behavior includes, but is not limited to, acts reasonably perceived as being motivated by any actual or perceived characteristic, such as race, color, religion, ancestry, national origin, gender, gender identity or expression, physical appearance, sexual orientation, or mental, physical, or sensory disability, or by association with a person who has or is perceived to have one or more of these characteristics.

which was added at some point in one of the editions.  I don’t see it in the ‘fifth edition’, but it seems to be in the ‘filed’ version (I can’t detemine if ‘filed’ is the first or most recent version – assuming ‘most recent’).

I’m disappointed for a couple reasons:

1.  I’m not generally in favor of stuff like this being legislated.  Why schools can’t just write their own policies saying that they won’t tolerate this sort of crap, and not have to be forced in to doing it, I dunno.  I realize it’s a bit hard to define ‘bullying’ in a handbook, but I take Potter Stewart’s view of bullying – you know it when you see it.  Some of the other text in the bill does a decent enough job generalizing it already.

2.  The whole paragraph above including ‘race, gender, sexual orientation’, etc. was completely unnecessary, and just gave more reason for some people to be against the bill (“let’s not elevate sexual orientation – a preference – to that of race – something you’re born with” – per Frank’s article linked to above).  Bullying is bullying, and while they have the ‘but not limited to” clause above, it’s still perceived as “this is what you can’t bully people about”.  I was bullied for years by numerous people, and it never had anything to do with sexual orientation, race, gender, mental disability, etc.  In fact, it was generally because of my mental *ability* – I was too smart for most people around me to deal with, and the way some peers dealt with their own feelings of inadequacy (which I guess I amplified by comparison) was to intimidate me.  Over stupid stuff, but it still ‘worked’ – I grew to hate/fear being in school by middle school.

I do like the reversal of logic point some people have pointed out:  If we shouldn’t ‘protect’ people based on ‘choices’ (like sexual orientation) then we shouldn’t include religion in these sorts of ‘protection’ clauses.  People choose what church to go to, or indeed whether or not to follow any sort of religion.  I doubt we’ll ever see religious belief stricken from these catch-all legal clauses though.

Car mileage update

June 20th, 2008

Had a decent amount of driving again in the last couple weeks:

419.6 miles – 12.33 gallons to fill up (@ $3.929 – not over the $4 some of you are paying, but still painful!)

That’s 34.03 mpg for the last fill up.  I had some highway driving, which seems to really help kick it up past the 30-31 I typically get now.

I’ve written about this before, but it bears repeating some.  SLOW DOWN and you’ll get much better mileage.  2 summers ago I was getting 25 on average.  I now get 30 on average.  That’s a 20% improvement.

I’ve started keeping track of my mileage over at http://fuelfrog.com.  You might be able to see my mpg chart over at http://www.fuelfrog.com/users/mgkimsal/fuels/dashboard – not sure if you can see that if you’re not logged in to fuelfrog yourself.

IT 2.0 thoughts

June 6th, 2008

ReadWriteWeb had a thought-provoking article up today about what the future IT worker would look like.  More specifically, what sorts of skills this person would need to have to be successful.  Not surprisingly, the recommendation was, in a nutshell, the ability to communicate with other members of the business on their terms.  I don’t think I’m dumbing the article down – that’s the gist I took away from it.  And it’s not a wrong prediction, it’s just one that’s continually being made, and I don’t really see the situation changing dramatically.

I should start off by saying that I’m never considered myself the type of software developer that was mentioned in the article: “You know the type – the stereotypical introvert, who’s more comfortable behind the glow of computer screen than interacting with the rest of the human race. The one who likes to speak in acronyms that only he or she understands. The ones who know how to do everything from a command prompt. These folks will be a dying breed…at least around the office.” I’ve had more than a few people comment over the years that they didn’t think I was a programmer.  I’ve typically not dressed like the ‘typical’ developer, or had many of the same interests as the stereotypical developer (Simpsons yes, Futurama no, gaming no, etc.).  I’ve always wanted – nay, needed – to know what’s going on in other parts of the business to try to get a full picture.

Trouble is, that’s never worked out very well.  One may argue that the way I went about it was never the ‘right’ way, but at the same time, I’ve been at places that paid lip service to ‘teams’ but still had the ‘silo’ mentality regarding information.  To be fair, I think widespread use of intranets may make that type of mentality less useful or even accepted in more companies, but even most intranets I’ve seen are very locked down – users in group X can *only* see group X documents, and can’t see what group Y sees, for example.  There’s a certain attraction to that way of operating, I can see, but it continues the ‘us vs them’ inside many companies.

The example in the article about knowing “blogs, wikis and rss” is useful, in that it makes another point without perhaps meaning to.  Currently knowing those terms and understanding how to implement them puts one at an advantage when being able to address company needs with technology.  A few years ago, these concepts were black arts, but today they’re commoditized to the point where people can understand and implement them on their own.  You don’t need to be the real hardcore software guy to put together those sorts of solutions, and less technical guys can get by with dealing with business needs on that level.

What’s not commoditized yet?  A next wave of business needs is only now starting to get addresssed are business intelligence stuff (reporting engines, OLAP stuff, etc.).  These sorts of technologies can still require full time geeks – not the sort of people that necessarily attend every business meeting, but more the sort described above: more comfortable behind their monitors.  Successful businesses still need those people onsite.  In a few years when we have ‘OLAP in a box’ and you get these sorts of apps for free in web developer magazines (like we do now with blog engines), we’ll be on to other more ‘cutting edge’ technologies which will still require some of the geeks to be around.

Certainly there’ll be a continued, if shrinking, need for hardcore geeks who work odd hours, have bad hair and sing Monty Python songs at random intervals throughout a work day.  I’d grant that much with respect to the point the RWW article was trying to make.  I just don’t think we’ll see a day when those types of people simply don’t exist at all in many companies.

Driving speeds and $4/gallon gas – are you slowing down?

May 22nd, 2008

I currently don’t drive much, so when I do I tend to be more aware of others’ driving habits than I used to be.  Maybe it’s the speeding tickets I’ve had over the years, or maybe I’m just getting old, but I don’t tend to drive very fast anymore.  If anything my wife thinks I drive too slow sometimes.  With that said, with gas coming up to $4/gallon ($3.95 by my house today, and $4.69 for diesel!) I’m somewhat surprised by how many people haven’t changed their habits.

I was passed numerous times today by SUVs flooring it to pass me, apparently because they wanted to be first to slam on the brakes before the red light (which was already yellow when they were passing me).  I want to say I’m exaggerating this behaviour, but I’m not.  I was driving 60 on the freeway (yes, in the right lane), but was a bit stunned to see people obviously doing 75 or more.  While I realize that people need to get to places on time, it’s reported all over the place that driving slower reduces your gas usage by up to 10%.  That’s the equivalent of paying $3.60 instead of $4.00 for each gallon.

My mom told me a few weeks ago she’s paying $80/week to commute across town.  It’s likely now close to $100/week.  A 10% savings would be saving $10/week – $520 per year.  People switch car insurance companies for that, go out of their way to buy extra things to get ‘points back’ for ‘free’ airmiles and whatnot, but won’t just slow down to save money.  I don’t get it.

Back when gas was $1.10/gallon, it was much harder to make the financial argument for slowing down.  It’s been much easier the past year or so, but I haven’t really seen any difference.  Have you?  Do you drive slower now than you used to to save on gas use?

facebook or linkedin app I’d like to see

April 25th, 2008

TechCrunch has a story on a recently funded Facebook app which, frankly, seems stupid.  Buying and selling ‘friends’ as ‘pets’.  People have already sold me somehow on Facebook, and I just ignore it.  I don’t get it.  I thought MySpace was the place for stupid/flitty ideas, but it seems Facebook is moving in that direction, having grown their network to towering heights.

So, perhaps LinkedIn is the place to turn for apps with some sense, but I don’t see that you can write your own apps for LinkedIn, yet, anyway.  Can you?

What I’d like to see is a time tracking/project tool with invoicing capabilities.  This would turn LinkedIn or Facebook or whatever into a social business portal.  Guru and ODesk and others seem to be doing OK with this, but you’re relying on people you’ve never met, with a race to the bottom in terms of price competition from overseas.  If LinkedIn had a job/work type thing which would allow people to put out small chunks of work, the ability to find quality, recommended people from inside your own network would be huge.  They already have a ‘jobs’ thing, but it’s pretty limited.  Extending it to allow project tracking would rock.  However, it’s probably outside of their core focus, and it may never happen.

Will someone be able to build something like this on top of Facebook instead of more stupid ‘zombie’ apps?  Technically, probably yes, but I fear Facebook has devolved so much in to a place where professional stuff won’t ever take place on any real scale.  Am I wrong?